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Can the Falcons run the ball without the Burner? God I hope so.

Colts -1 over Ravens -102  (4 units)

I really think everyone is over analyzing this one.  Sure, some lines stink like traps.  But do you really think that Vegas is going to put that line out to lure the public into betting EVEN MORE money on an undefeated team to beat a 5-4 squad?  Sometimes you just have to take the pity lay from your ex-girlfriend.

49ers +6.5 over Green Bay -106  (4 units)

San Francisco is 3-0-1 against the spread as road underdogs.  They have played all their games close except the one 35 point blowout.  Green Bay seems to be in safe mode on offense and have liked protecting the ball and letting their defense carry some weight.  All the signs are pointing towards a close game, so I’m betting on it.

Falcons over Giants ML +298  (2 units)

The Falcons may have lost Michael Turner, but this line seems like a pretty big over reaction to me.  It’s not like the Giants have been setting the world on fire during their 4 game losing streak.  If the Falcons can get anything going on the ground against the questionable New York defense then they have a chance to win this game.  Definitely better than the 25% chance that this line is giving them.

Lions -3.5 over Browns +107  (2 units)

I’m continuing my streak of betting on some of the worst games in football.  We don’t need to watch the games to gamble on them, right?  The Browns looked like a bad high school squad on Monday night and I have no reason to believe that they will improve.  The Lions at least have shown some glimpses of hope this year on their way to 1-8.

Eagles -3 over Bears -104  (2 units)

The Bears are not good.

All lines are current odds on matchbook.com as of the time of this article.